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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Australia Watch Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
This week in Melbourne, the weather will be dominated by a slow-moving low-pressure system, bringing a mix of cloud, light showers and below-average temperatures — the most useful takeaway is that you will want a jacket through midweek, with a drier and slightly warmer weekend possible.
What is driving the cool and unsettled conditions?
A trough dragging across Victoria is interacting with a moist flow from the Southern Ocean, which is why the live forecast above shows frequent cloud cover and a chance of drizzle. This pattern typically keeps temperatures well below the seasonal normal, especially during the afternoons. Winds from the southwest will also make it feel cooler than the actual reading.
How does this compare to the longer-term outlook?
If you are checking the weather melbourne 7 days or a weather in melbourne 10 days forecast, you will notice a gradual shift toward a more stable ridge by the end of the week. The unsettled phase should clear by Friday, leading to a sunnier weekend. However, the weather melbourne 14 days outlook from the Bureau suggests a return of a similar pattern next week, so enjoy the break while it lasts.
Frequently asked questions
Will it rain heavily this week in Melbourne?
No widespread heavy rain is expected. The system is weak and moisture-limited, so most days will only bring patchy light drizzle or isolated showers. Total rainfall for the week is likely under 5–10 mm in the city centre.
Is a heatwave forecast for this month?
Looking at the melbourne weather 30 days guidance, there is no indication of a heatwave in the next two weeks. The current pattern favours mild, often cloudy conditions, with daytime temperatures staying below 28°C through mid-December.
When is the best time to plan outdoor activities?
The weekend looks the driest and calmest window. If you need to plan around today, check the weather in melbourne tomorrow detail — Friday morning may still be cloudy, but rain chances drop sharply by midday.
Sources
For a broader view, visit the Australia weather hub or the dedicated Melbourne Weather page. If severe storms develop — though unlikely this week — check Severe Weather Warning updates.